Searching for Bull Market Catalysts (Part 3): It’s the Economy, Stupid!
During the 1992 US presidential election campaign, James Carville, then a strategist for the Bill Clinton campaign, coined…
Searching for Bull Market Catalysts (Part 2): Decline & Fall of Inflation
This week, we continue our series on likely catalysts for the next bull market. Recall, throughout 2022 and…
Searching for Bull Market Catalysts (Part 1): Pivot or Pause
We have, over the past two months, reiterated our view that the current bear market cycle is likely…
Dead cats and bull’s legs: interpreting last week’s volatility
The release of US inflation data on Tuesday last week triggered the biggest one day move down in…
Known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns
On February 12th 2002, the then US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld responded to a question at a news…
When Good News is Bad News…
The following is a quote from a recent article in a prominent financial news journal: “Strong economic data…
Rational Optimism
Two weeks ago, we explained our idea of ‘embracing uncertainty’. To recap, this is the idea that investors…
Is This a New Bull Market, or a Bear Market Rally?
Equity markets hit their lows, for 2022 year-to-date, in mid-June. The S&P 500 Index hit a low of…
Embracing Uncertainty
Pandemic, cultural and working practices changed forever, supply chain disruptions impacting food production, war in Europe. Sound familiar?…
Debunking False Narratives (Part 4): Investing in Anti-Bubbles
Over the past month, we have discussed false narratives we believe are predominant in financial markets today. This…